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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

61%

Den Bosch

1.64

19%

Draw

5.15

20%

Helmond Sport

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.28

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.52

1.24

Helmond Sport xG

61%
19%
20%
Den BoschDrawHelmond Sport

1.64

61%

Home win

5.15

19%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

29%

Den Bosch

3.44

10%

Helmond Sport

9.82

Win to Nil

18%

Den Bosch

5.64

2%

Helmond Sport

50.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 8.4 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.9 7.3 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.284
λ Away (xG) 1.235
Total xG 3.519
League avg home goals 1.827
League avg away goals 1.372
Den Bosch attack strength 1.187
Den Bosch defence strength 1.225
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.735
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49