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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

55%

Den Bosch

1.81

24%

Draw

4.09

20%

Helmond Sport

4.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

2.87

1.03

Helmond Sport xG

55%
24%
20%
Den BoschDrawHelmond Sport

1.81

55%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

4.94

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

36%

Den Bosch

2.82

16%

Helmond Sport

6.28

Win to Nil

20%

Den Bosch

5.09

3%

Helmond Sport

31.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.8 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.837
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.872
League avg home goals 1.670
League avg away goals 1.241
Den Bosch attack strength 0.866
Den Bosch defence strength 0.911
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.916
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.270
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74