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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

33%

Almere City FC

3.01

23%

Draw

4.34

44%

Willem II

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.24

1.75

Willem II xG

33%
23%
44%
Almere City FCDrawWillem II

3.01

33%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

17%

Almere City FC

5.73

22%

Willem II

4.47

Win to Nil

6%

Almere City FC

17.25

10%

Willem II

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.8 5.9 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 5.8 10.2 8.9 5.2 2.3 0.8
2 4.4 7.6 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.2 3.8 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.498
λ Away (xG) 1.746
Total xG 3.244
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
Almere City FC attack strength 1.147
Almere City FC defence strength 1.036
Willem II attack strength 1.186
Willem II defence strength 0.795
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38