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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

50%

ADO Den Haag

2.01

22%

Draw

4.51

28%

Waalwijk

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.33

1.40

Waalwijk xG

50%
22%
28%
ADO Den HaagDrawWaalwijk

2.01

50%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

25%

ADO Den Haag

4.06

15%

Waalwijk

6.85

Win to Nil

12%

ADO Den Haag

8.15

4%

Waalwijk

24.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.9 9.7 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.3 6.0 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.924
λ Away (xG) 1.401
Total xG 3.325
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.483
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.228
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.801
Waalwijk attack strength 1.179
Waalwijk defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36