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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Bingoal Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

62%

ADO Den Haag

1.61

22%

Draw

4.56

16%

Jong Ajax

6.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

2.87

0.90

Jong Ajax xG

62%
22%
16%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong Ajax

1.61

62%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

6.25

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

41%

ADO Den Haag

2.46

14%

Jong Ajax

7.21

Win to Nil

25%

ADO Den Haag

3.96

2%

Jong Ajax

45.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 10.0 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.975
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.874
League avg home goals 1.680
League avg away goals 1.276
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.003
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.850
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.828
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 62