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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

60%

ADO Den Haag

1.65

20%

Draw

5.08

20%

Helmond Sport

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.48

1.23

Helmond Sport xG

60%
20%
20%
ADO Den HaagDrawHelmond Sport

1.65

60%

Home win

5.08

20%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

29%

ADO Den Haag

3.41

11%

Helmond Sport

9.48

Win to Nil

18%

ADO Den Haag

5.64

2%

Helmond Sport

47.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.0 8.5 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.9 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.249
λ Away (xG) 1.226
Total xG 3.475
League avg home goals 1.681
League avg away goals 1.269
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.329
ADO Den Haag defence strength 1.061
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.911
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.007
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 41