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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals β€” Wednesday 19 August 2026

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

No fixtures met the low scoring criteria on Wednesday 19 August 2026.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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No prediction data available for 19 August 2026

No fixtures with sufficient data were found for this date.

Low Scoring β€” common questions

What does the Low Scoring market mean?

Low Scoring settles on whether a match is expected to stay tight, typically under 2.5 goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate low scoring probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, ranked ascending so the tightest games surface first. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the lowest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these low scoring predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.