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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spezia Win

27%

Venezia

3.73

35%

Draw

2.88

38%

Spezia

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.46

1.35

Spezia xG

27%
35%
38%
VeneziaDrawSpezia

3.73

27%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

26%

Venezia

3.86

33%

Spezia

3.03

Win to Nil

7%

Venezia

14.39

13%

Spezia

7.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 11.6 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.108
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.459
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.140
Venezia attack strength 0.926
Venezia defence strength 1.207
Spezia attack strength 0.982
Spezia defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 42