Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

21%

Venezia

4.81

34%

Draw

2.93

45%

Frosinone

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.39

1.45

Frosinone xG

21%
34%
45%
VeneziaDrawFrosinone

4.81

21%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

24%

Venezia

4.25

39%

Frosinone

2.56

Win to Nil

5%

Venezia

20.44

18%

Frosinone

5.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 13.3 9.6 4.6 1.7 0.5
1 8.6 12.5 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.1 5.9 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.941
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 2.387
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.125
Venezia attack strength 0.994
Venezia defence strength 1.057
Frosinone attack strength 1.217
Frosinone defence strength 0.739
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44