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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cesena Win

25%

Venezia

4.02

33%

Draw

3.00

42%

Cesena

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.58

1.47

Cesena xG

25%
33%
42%
VeneziaDrawCesena

4.02

25%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

23%

Venezia

4.36

33%

Cesena

3.04

Win to Nil

6%

Venezia

17.53

14%

Cesena

7.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.1 8.2 4.0 1.5 0.4
1 8.4 12.3 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.5
2 4.7 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.7 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 2.585
League avg home goals 1.193
League avg away goals 1.040
Venezia attack strength 0.954
Venezia defence strength 1.164
Cesena attack strength 1.217
Cesena defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41