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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

53%

Venezia

1.88

28%

Draw

3.58

19%

Catanzaro

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.38

0.83

Catanzaro xG

53%
28%
19%
VeneziaDrawCatanzaro

1.88

53%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

43%

Venezia

2.30

21%

Catanzaro

4.71

Win to Nil

23%

Venezia

4.33

4%

Catanzaro

24.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.3 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 5.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.550
λ Away (xG) 0.833
Total xG 2.383
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.021
Venezia attack strength 1.260
Venezia defence strength 0.797
Catanzaro attack strength 1.024
Catanzaro defence strength 0.938
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57