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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

42%

Sudtirol

2.36

33%

Draw

3.01

25%

Palermo

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.60

1.11

Palermo xG

42%
33%
25%
SudtirolDrawPalermo

2.36

42%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

4.08

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

33%

Sudtirol

3.03

22%

Palermo

4.45

Win to Nil

14%

Sudtirol

7.18

6%

Palermo

18.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.2 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.3 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.492
λ Away (xG) 1.110
Total xG 2.602
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.025
Sudtirol attack strength 1.196
Sudtirol defence strength 0.993
Palermo attack strength 1.091
Palermo defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40