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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

40%

Sudtirol

2.48

29%

Draw

3.50

31%

Cesena

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.70

1.25

Cesena xG

40%
29%
31%
SudtirolDrawCesena

2.48

40%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

29%

Sudtirol

3.50

23%

Cesena

4.26

Win to Nil

12%

Sudtirol

8.68

7%

Cesena

13.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.2 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.450
λ Away (xG) 1.252
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.140
Sudtirol attack strength 1.022
Sudtirol defence strength 1.186
Cesena attack strength 0.925
Cesena defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31