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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Palermo Win
21%
4.79
34%
2.90
45%
2.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.36
1.43
Palermo xG
SpeziaDrawPalermo
4.79
21%
Home win
2.90
34%
Draw
2.24
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
24%
4.16
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
5%
19.93
18%
5.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 13.5 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.933
λ Away (xG)
1.426
Total xG
2.359
League avg home goals
1.307
League avg away goals
1.100
Spezia attack strength
0.852
Spezia defence strength
1.154
Palermo attack strength
1.124
Palermo defence strength
0.837
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44