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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Monza Win
19%
5.19
32%
3.16
49%
2.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.6%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.7%
Draw
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.70
Spezia xG
Total xG
1.99
1.28
Monza xG
SpeziaDrawMonza
5.19
19%
Home win
3.16
32%
Draw
2.04
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
38%
BTTS Yes
2.65
62%
BTTS No
1.61
Clean Sheet
28%
3.60
49%
2.02
Win to Nil
5%
18.72
24%
4.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.7 | 17.6 | 11.3 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 12.4 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.705
λ Away (xG)
1.282
Total xG
1.987
League avg home goals
1.279
League avg away goals
1.155
Spezia attack strength
0.686
Spezia defence strength
1.073
Monza attack strength
1.034
Monza defence strength
0.803
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 28