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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cesena Win
24%
4.20
32%
3.16
45%
2.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
1 – 2
9.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.78
1.62
Cesena xG
SpeziaDrawCesena
4.20
24%
Home win
3.16
32%
Draw
2.24
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.71
41%
BTTS No
2.41
Clean Sheet
20%
5.05
31%
3.19
Win to Nil
5%
21.19
14%
7.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.160
λ Away (xG)
1.619
Total xG
2.779
League avg home goals
1.351
League avg away goals
1.096
Spezia attack strength
0.842
Spezia defence strength
1.206
Cesena attack strength
1.225
Cesena defence strength
1.019
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45