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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
52%
1.92
29%
3.47
19%
5.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
2 – 0
10.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.48
0.89
Brescia xG
SpeziaDrawBrescia
1.92
52%
Home win
3.47
29%
Draw
5.21
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.05
51%
BTTS No
1.95
Clean Sheet
41%
2.44
20%
4.91
Win to Nil
21%
4.69
4%
25.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.592
λ Away (xG)
0.891
Total xG
2.483
League avg home goals
1.234
League avg away goals
1.095
Spezia attack strength
1.242
Spezia defence strength
0.988
Brescia attack strength
0.824
Brescia defence strength
1.039
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68