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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
41%
2.44
29%
3.42
30%
3.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
13.1%
Home win
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.24
1.01
Avellino xG
SpeziaDrawAvellino
2.44
41%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
3.36
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.21
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
37%
2.73
29%
3.43
Win to Nil
15%
6.66
9%
11.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.1 | 13.2 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.233
λ Away (xG)
1.006
Total xG
2.239
League avg home goals
1.282
League avg away goals
1.047
Spezia attack strength
0.827
Spezia defence strength
1.161
Avellino attack strength
0.828
Avellino defence strength
1.162
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
58 / 20