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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

66%

Sassuolo

1.52

21%

Draw

4.81

13%

Catanzaro

7.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

3.16

0.93

Catanzaro xG

66%
21%
13%
SassuoloDrawCatanzaro

1.52

66%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

7.50

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

39%

Sassuolo

2.53

11%

Catanzaro

9.33

Win to Nil

26%

Sassuolo

3.85

1%

Catanzaro

69.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.8 7.3 3.4 1.1 0.2
4 4.4 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.233
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 3.163
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.122
Sassuolo attack strength 1.445
Sassuolo defence strength 0.878
Catanzaro attack strength 0.944
Catanzaro defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74