Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

31%

Sampdoria

3.23

34%

Draw

2.94

35%

Palermo

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

1.98

1.03

Palermo xG

31%
34%
35%
SampdoriaDrawPalermo

3.23

31%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

36%

Sampdoria

2.79

39%

Palermo

2.58

Win to Nil

11%

Sampdoria

9.02

14%

Palermo

7.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 14.2 7.3 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.2 6.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.949
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 1.976
League avg home goals 1.203
League avg away goals 1.056
Sampdoria attack strength 0.746
Sampdoria defence strength 0.831
Palermo attack strength 1.170
Palermo defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66