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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cittadella Win

27%

Sampdoria

3.71

36%

Draw

2.76

37%

Cittadella

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

1.83

1.01

Cittadella xG

27%
36%
37%
SampdoriaDrawCittadella

3.71

27%

Home win

2.76

36%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

36%

Sampdoria

2.74

44%

Cittadella

2.28

Win to Nil

10%

Sampdoria

10.15

16%

Cittadella

6.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 16.1 8.1 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 13.2 13.3 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 5.5 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.826
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 1.834
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.169
Sampdoria attack strength 0.686
Sampdoria defence strength 0.969
Cittadella attack strength 0.890
Cittadella defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70