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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

41%

Sampdoria

2.44

36%

Draw

2.74

23%

Cesena

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

1.97

0.81

Cesena xG

41%
36%
23%
SampdoriaDrawCesena

2.44

41%

Home win

2.74

36%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

44%

Sampdoria

2.25

31%

Cesena

3.20

Win to Nil

18%

Sampdoria

5.49

7%

Cesena

14.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 11.3 4.6 1.2 0.2
1 16.2 13.1 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 9.4 7.6 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.162
λ Away (xG) 0.810
Total xG 1.972
League avg home goals 1.192
League avg away goals 1.031
Sampdoria attack strength 0.803
Sampdoria defence strength 1.020
Cesena attack strength 0.771
Cesena defence strength 1.214
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21