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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

28%

Sampdoria

3.60

37%

Draw

2.67

35%

Catanzaro

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.16

1.15

Catanzaro xG

28%
37%
35%
SampdoriaDrawCatanzaro

3.60

28%

Home win

2.67

37%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

32%

Sampdoria

3.16

36%

Catanzaro

2.74

Win to Nil

9%

Sampdoria

11.38

13%

Catanzaro

7.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 13.3 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.6 13.4 7.7 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.009
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.159
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.169
Sampdoria attack strength 0.803
Sampdoria defence strength 1.051
Catanzaro attack strength 0.935
Catanzaro defence strength 0.949
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43