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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

52%

Sampdoria

1.94

31%

Draw

3.20

17%

Carrarese

5.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.05

0.69

Carrarese xG

52%
31%
17%
SampdoriaDrawCarrarese

1.94

52%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

5.79

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

50%

Sampdoria

1.99

26%

Carrarese

3.90

Win to Nil

26%

Sampdoria

3.86

4%

Carrarese

22.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 8.9 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 17.6 12.1 4.1 0.9 0.2
2 12.0 8.2 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 0.686
Total xG 2.046
League avg home goals 1.244
League avg away goals 1.052
Sampdoria attack strength 0.880
Sampdoria defence strength 1.000
Carrarese attack strength 0.652
Carrarese defence strength 1.242
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 18