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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

25%

Salernitana

4.06

28%

Draw

3.54

47%

Sassuolo

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Salernitana xG

Total xG

2.77

1.64

Sassuolo xG

25%
28%
47%
SalernitanaDrawSassuolo

4.06

25%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

19%

Salernitana

5.13

32%

Sassuolo

3.11

Win to Nil

5%

Salernitana

20.84

15%

Sassuolo

6.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 10.2 8.4 4.6 1.9 0.6
1 7.1 11.6 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.0 6.6 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.5 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.136
λ Away (xG) 1.635
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.037
Salernitana attack strength 0.890
Salernitana defence strength 1.276
Sassuolo attack strength 1.235
Sassuolo defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 20