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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Stadio Arechi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salernitana Win

34%

Salernitana

2.95

33%

Draw

2.99

33%

Brescia

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Salernitana xG

Total xG

2.35

1.16

Brescia xG

34%
33%
33%
SalernitanaDrawBrescia

2.95

34%

Home win

2.99

33%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

31%

Salernitana

3.20

30%

Brescia

3.28

Win to Nil

11%

Salernitana

9.44

10%

Brescia

10.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.1 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.3 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 1.164
Total xG 2.352
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.092
Salernitana attack strength 0.979
Salernitana defence strength 1.350
Brescia attack strength 0.789
Brescia defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55