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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cittadella Win

31%

Reggiana

3.23

34%

Draw

2.97

35%

Cittadella

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Reggiana xG

Total xG

2.15

1.12

Cittadella xG

31%
34%
35%
ReggianaDrawCittadella

3.23

31%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

33%

Reggiana

3.06

36%

Cittadella

2.81

Win to Nil

10%

Reggiana

9.90

13%

Cittadella

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 13.0 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.2 6.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.033
λ Away (xG) 1.120
Total xG 2.153
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.183
Reggiana attack strength 0.838
Reggiana defence strength 1.152
Cittadella attack strength 0.822
Cittadella defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71