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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
21%
4.87
39%
2.55
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
18.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
18.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.67
Palermo xG
Total xG
1.69
1.02
Spezia xG
PalermoDrawSpezia
4.87
21%
Home win
2.55
39%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.94
66%
BTTS No
1.52
Clean Sheet
36%
2.78
51%
1.95
Win to Nil
7%
13.51
21%
4.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.5 | 18.9 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.667
λ Away (xG)
1.021
Total xG
1.688
League avg home goals
1.171
League avg away goals
1.095
Palermo attack strength
0.785
Palermo defence strength
0.875
Spezia attack strength
1.066
Spezia defence strength
0.726
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52