Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

52%

Palermo

1.94

31%

Draw

3.22

17%

Padova

5.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.06

0.69

Padova xG

52%
31%
17%
PalermoDrawPadova

1.94

52%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

5.74

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

50%

Palermo

2.00

26%

Padova

3.92

Win to Nil

26%

Palermo

3.87

4%

Padova

22.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 8.8 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 17.5 12.1 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 11.9 8.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 5.4 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 0.691
Total xG 2.056
League avg home goals 1.319
League avg away goals 1.043
Palermo attack strength 1.193
Palermo defence strength 0.779
Padova attack strength 0.851
Padova defence strength 0.867
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17