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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Tue 28 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

42%

Palermo

2.38

39%

Draw

2.58

19%

Monza

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Palermo xG

Total xG

1.86

0.72

Monza xG

42%
39%
19%
PalermoDrawMonza

2.38

42%

Home win

2.58

39%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

49%

Palermo

2.05

32%

Monza

3.15

Win to Nil

21%

Palermo

4.88

6%

Monza

16.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.5 11.1 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.8 12.8 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.2 7.3 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 2.8 1.0 0.2
4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.147
λ Away (xG) 0.718
Total xG 1.865
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.130
Palermo attack strength 0.902
Palermo defence strength 0.759
Monza attack strength 0.837
Monza defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 9