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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Palermo

3.31

41%

Draw

2.46

29%

Modena

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Palermo xG

Total xG

1.83

0.91

Modena xG

30%
41%
29%
PalermoDrawModena

3.31

30%

Home win

2.46

41%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

40%

Palermo

2.47

40%

Modena

2.52

Win to Nil

12%

Palermo

8.18

12%

Modena

8.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 14.5 6.6 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 13.4 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.9 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.924
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 1.829
League avg home goals 1.350
League avg away goals 1.099
Palermo attack strength 0.907
Palermo defence strength 0.752
Modena attack strength 1.095
Modena defence strength 0.756
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45