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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

38%

Palermo

2.64

35%

Draw

2.88

27%

Modena

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.02

0.91

Modena xG

38%
35%
27%
PalermoDrawModena

2.64

38%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

40%

Palermo

2.48

33%

Modena

3.04

Win to Nil

15%

Palermo

6.53

9%

Modena

11.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 12.0 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 13.4 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.2 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.020
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.040
Palermo attack strength 0.884
Palermo defence strength 0.869
Modena attack strength 1.004
Modena defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58