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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 4 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

68%

Palermo

1.46

22%

Draw

4.59

10%

Mantova

10.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.8%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.55

0.60

Mantova xG

68%
22%
PalermoDrawMantova

1.46

68%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

10.30

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

55%

Palermo

1.83

14%

Mantova

7.00

Win to Nil

37%

Palermo

2.67

1%

Mantova

72.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 4.7 1.4 0.3
1 15.2 9.2 2.8 0.6 0.1
2 14.8 8.9 2.7 0.5 0.1
3 9.6 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 4.7 2.8 0.8 0.2
5 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.946
λ Away (xG) 0.603
Total xG 2.549
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.146
Palermo attack strength 1.388
Palermo defence strength 0.701
Mantova attack strength 0.751
Mantova defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65