Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

42%

Palermo

2.39

32%

Draw

3.17

27%

Frosinone

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.42

1.05

Frosinone xG

42%
32%
27%
PalermoDrawFrosinone

2.39

42%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

35%

Palermo

2.86

25%

Frosinone

3.93

Win to Nil

15%

Palermo

6.83

7%

Frosinone

14.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.3 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 12.8 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.8 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.369
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.420
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.107
Palermo attack strength 1.155
Palermo defence strength 1.000
Frosinone attack strength 0.950
Frosinone defence strength 0.923
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39