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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Wed 20 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

56%

Palermo

1.78

23%

Draw

4.29

21%

Catanzaro

4.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Palermo xG

Total xG

3.27

1.20

Catanzaro xG

56%
23%
21%
PalermoDrawCatanzaro

1.78

56%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

4.87

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

30%

Palermo

3.32

13%

Catanzaro

7.90

Win to Nil

17%

Palermo

5.91

3%

Catanzaro

38.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.9 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.6 6.7 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.067
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 3.268
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Palermo attack strength 1.293
Palermo defence strength 0.868
Catanzaro attack strength 1.285
Catanzaro defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76