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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

55%

Palermo

1.80

26%

Draw

3.81

18%

Catanzaro

5.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.92

1.03

Catanzaro xG

55%
26%
18%
PalermoDrawCatanzaro

1.80

55%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

5.46

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

36%

Palermo

2.80

15%

Catanzaro

6.61

Win to Nil

20%

Palermo

5.06

3%

Catanzaro

36.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.2 10.5 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.888
λ Away (xG) 1.031
Total xG 2.919
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Palermo attack strength 1.258
Palermo defence strength 0.773
Catanzaro attack strength 1.230
Catanzaro defence strength 1.090
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74