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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

38%

Palermo

2.63

35%

Draw

2.85

27%

Catanzaro

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.00

0.90

Catanzaro xG

38%
35%
27%
PalermoDrawCatanzaro

2.63

38%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

41%

Palermo

2.45

33%

Catanzaro

3.03

Win to Nil

16%

Palermo

6.43

9%

Catanzaro

11.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.3 7.4 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 2.005
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.096
Palermo attack strength 0.857
Palermo defence strength 0.806
Catanzaro attack strength 1.012
Catanzaro defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54