Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

53%

Palermo

1.87

31%

Draw

3.18

15%

Bari

6.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.44

0.81

Bari xG

53%
31%
15%
PalermoDrawBari

1.87

53%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

6.64

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

44%

Palermo

2.25

20%

Bari

5.12

Win to Nil

24%

Palermo

4.21

3%

Bari

34.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.2 11.5 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.4 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.3 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.633
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.051
Palermo attack strength 1.074
Palermo defence strength 0.928
Bari attack strength 0.831
Bari defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41