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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

26%

Padova

3.81

28%

Draw

3.57

46%

Palermo

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Padova xG

Total xG

2.68

1.55

Palermo xG

26%
28%
46%
PadovaDrawPalermo

3.81

26%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

21%

Padova

4.74

32%

Palermo

3.10

Win to Nil

6%

Padova

18.03

15%

Palermo

6.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 10.6 8.2 4.3 1.7 0.5
1 7.7 12.0 9.3 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.4 6.8 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.3
3 1.6 2.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.130
λ Away (xG) 1.555
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.103
Padova attack strength 0.846
Padova defence strength 1.290
Palermo attack strength 1.093
Palermo defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69