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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Euganeo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

27%

Padova

3.64

25%

Draw

4.04

48%

Catanzaro

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Padova xG

Total xG

3.01

1.74

Catanzaro xG

27%
25%
48%
PadovaDrawCatanzaro

3.64

27%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

18%

Padova

5.68

28%

Catanzaro

3.57

Win to Nil

5%

Padova

20.66

13%

Catanzaro

7.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.6 7.4 4.3 1.9 0.7
1 6.3 10.9 9.5 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 4.0 6.9 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 1.7 2.9 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.272
λ Away (xG) 1.737
Total xG 3.009
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.121
Padova attack strength 0.870
Padova defence strength 1.192
Catanzaro attack strength 1.301
Catanzaro defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67