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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Monza Win
44%
2.28
38%
2.63
18%
5.54
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.9%
Draw
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Monza xG
Total xG
1.90
0.71
Padova xG
MonzaDrawPadova
2.28
44%
Home win
2.63
38%
Draw
5.54
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.55
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
49%
2.03
30%
3.31
Win to Nil
22%
4.61
5%
18.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.9 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.8 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.198
λ Away (xG)
0.707
Total xG
1.905
League avg home goals
1.320
League avg away goals
1.136
Monza attack strength
0.808
Monza defence strength
0.880
Padova attack strength
0.707
Padova defence strength
1.124
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
4 / 4