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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

34%

Monza

2.95

30%

Draw

3.38

37%

Mantova

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Monza xG

Total xG

2.70

1.38

Mantova xG

34%
30%
37%
MonzaDrawMantova

2.95

34%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

25%

Monza

3.97

27%

Mantova

3.75

Win to Nil

9%

Monza

11.72

10%

Mantova

10.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.3 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.9 12.2 8.4 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.9 8.1 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.6 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.379
Total xG 2.700
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.175
Monza attack strength 0.850
Monza defence strength 1.150
Mantova attack strength 1.020
Mantova defence strength 1.142
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38