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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Final

Kick-off

Fri 29 May 2026

19:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

49%

Monza

2.04

26%

Draw

3.88

25%

Catanzaro

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Monza xG

Total xG

3.01

1.23

Catanzaro xG

49%
26%
25%
MonzaDrawCatanzaro

2.04

49%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

29%

Monza

3.42

17%

Catanzaro

5.91

Win to Nil

14%

Monza

6.99

4%

Catanzaro

23.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.1 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 10.8 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.6 5.7 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.776
λ Away (xG) 1.230
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.076
Monza attack strength 1.115
Monza defence strength 0.898
Catanzaro attack strength 1.274
Catanzaro defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 76