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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

26%

Monza

3.88

43%

Draw

2.35

32%

Catanzaro

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.9%

Away win

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Monza xG

Total xG

1.64

0.87

Catanzaro xG

26%
43%
32%
MonzaDrawCatanzaro

3.88

26%

Home win

2.35

43%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.86

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

42%

Monza

2.39

46%

Catanzaro

2.15

Win to Nil

11%

Monza

9.27

15%

Catanzaro

6.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.5 16.9 7.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.9 13.0 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 5.7 5.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.766
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 1.636
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.125
Monza attack strength 0.692
Monza defence strength 0.922
Catanzaro attack strength 0.839
Catanzaro defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44