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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

18:30

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

62%

Monza

1.60

25%

Draw

4.02

13%

Bari

7.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Monza xG

Total xG

2.68

0.77

Bari xG

62%
25%
13%
MonzaDrawBari

1.60

62%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

7.87

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

46%

Monza

2.17

15%

Bari

6.73

Win to Nil

29%

Monza

3.47

2%

Bari

52.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 10.1 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 7.9 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.906
λ Away (xG) 0.773
Total xG 2.679
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.091
Monza attack strength 1.182
Monza defence strength 0.846
Bari attack strength 0.837
Bari defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 71