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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Brianteo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

60%

Monza

1.66

25%

Draw

4.00

15%

Avellino

6.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Monza xG

Total xG

2.44

0.73

Avellino xG

60%
25%
15%
MonzaDrawAvellino

1.66

60%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

6.73

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

48%

Monza

2.08

18%

Avellino

5.55

Win to Nil

29%

Monza

3.45

3%

Avellino

37.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 14.9 10.9 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.7 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 7.3 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.713
λ Away (xG) 0.731
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.050
Monza attack strength 1.163
Monza defence strength 0.936
Avellino attack strength 0.743
Avellino defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22