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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

37%

Modena

2.70

29%

Draw

3.42

34%

Pisa

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Modena xG

Total xG

2.85

1.39

Pisa xG

37%
29%
34%
ModenaDrawPisa

2.70

37%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

25%

Modena

4.00

23%

Pisa

4.31

Win to Nil

9%

Modena

10.81

8%

Pisa

12.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.0 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.5 11.7 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.6 5.9 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 1.387
Total xG 2.847
League avg home goals 1.232
League avg away goals 1.080
Modena attack strength 1.073
Modena defence strength 1.102
Pisa attack strength 1.165
Pisa defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55