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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

51%

Modena

1.95

33%

Draw

3.05

16%

Frosinone

6.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Modena xG

Total xG

2.12

0.71

Frosinone xG

51%
33%
16%
ModenaDrawFrosinone

1.95

51%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

6.22

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

49%

Modena

2.03

24%

Frosinone

4.10

Win to Nil

25%

Modena

3.97

4%

Frosinone

25.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 8.5 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 16.9 12.0 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 8.5 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.6 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 0.709
Total xG 2.121
League avg home goals 1.191
League avg away goals 1.040
Modena attack strength 0.983
Modena defence strength 0.939
Frosinone attack strength 0.727
Frosinone defence strength 1.207
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21