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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

46%

Modena

2.19

27%

Draw

3.68

27%

Cesena

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Modena xG

Total xG

2.76

1.18

Cesena xG

46%
27%
27%
ModenaDrawCesena

2.19

46%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

31%

Modena

3.24

21%

Cesena

4.85

Win to Nil

14%

Modena

7.12

6%

Cesena

17.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 11.8 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.580
λ Away (xG) 1.177
Total xG 2.757
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.160
Modena attack strength 1.072
Modena defence strength 1.244
Cesena attack strength 0.816
Cesena defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37