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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Mon 8 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

45%

Modena

2.21

32%

Draw

3.12

23%

Catanzaro

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Modena xG

Total xG

2.06

0.81

Catanzaro xG

45%
32%
23%
ModenaDrawCatanzaro

2.21

45%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

44%

Modena

2.25

29%

Catanzaro

3.48

Win to Nil

20%

Modena

4.99

7%

Catanzaro

15.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 10.3 4.2 1.1 0.2
1 15.9 12.9 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.9 8.1 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.248
λ Away (xG) 0.812
Total xG 2.060
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.074
Modena attack strength 1.029
Modena defence strength 0.783
Catanzaro attack strength 0.965
Catanzaro defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52